THE START OF THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFF FEELS A BIT LIKE A NEW SEASON ALTOGETHER. After surviving a grueling regular season, 12 teams have a clear path to national title glory.
No. 8 Oklahoma will host Alabama for Round 2 of a fight we saw in mid-November. No. 10 Miami and No. 7 Texas A&M will square off in what feels like the most physical and promising matchup of the first round. And Ole Miss and Oregon will look to avoid major upsets at the hands of G5 darlings Tulane and James Madison.
It’s now or never for the teams in the Field of 12. Here’s hoping we see some great football!

It’s time for our big postseason game! The idea is simple: Each week, we’ll give you a list of 30 prop bets for the upcoming slate of games… all you need to do is pick 6 that you think will hit. Some are straightforward, some are a little out there, some are downright goofy. We’ll run a new game each week of the postseason, with fabulous prizes on the line.
The best news: Bowl Bingo is free to play! Click below to learn more about the game and get all the details.
But hurry, because this week’s game locks TOMORROW AT 8PM ET!
BURNING QUESTIONS
Four CFP First Round Ponderings

Photo by Brian Bahr/Getty Images
1️⃣ Does Alabama have a counterpunch?
For two straight games, Alabama has been unable to solve Oklahoma’s defense. Last year, in their first meeting as SEC brethren, the Sooners tortured Jalen Milroe, forced three interceptions, and held the Crimson Tide to just three points. Last month, despite a different quarterback for Kalen DeBoer, the result was similar. Alabama churned out plenty of yards, but failed to deliver crucial blows in the red zone. Oklahoma forced three turnovers, held the Crimson Tide to just seven second-half points, and did just enough offensively to get the win.
Was it a good offensive showing for Oklahoma? No.
Were the Sooners perfect defensively? No.
But was the game plan effective for the second-straight season against Kalen DeBoer’s offense? You bet.
In the games since that mid-November meeting, Oklahoma closed out the regular season with close wins over LSU and Missouri. It should be noted the offense was equally bad in both of those games. Whereas Alabama blanked Eastern Illinois, survived a scare from rivals Auburn, and got walloped in a rematch against Georgia in the SEC title game.
Friday night brings us the third Alabama-Oklahoma matchup in two seasons, and I’m curious to see if the Crimson Tide can figure out a counterpunch. Having seen this matchup twice in the past year or so, I have a hard time believing Alabama has too many new tricks up its sleeve. Perhaps Alabama OC Ryan Grubb can add a new wrinkle to the offensive game plan by running quarterback Ty Simpson more, which is something we saw down the stretch of the regular season. Or perhaps the Crimson Tide defense can take advantage of the Sooners’ offensive woes in the same way Oklahoma has done in the last two meetings.
Or… maybe we’ll just end up with the same result with Oklahoma becoming the first team in college football history to beat Alabama three times in two seasons.
2️⃣ Can Carson Beck and Marcel Reed avoid the big mistake?
Miami vs Texas A&M might be decided by which quarterback makes the feweest mistakes.
For all intents and purposes, Carson Beck and Marcel Reed had fantastic seasons. Beck overcame a nasty arm injury at Georgia last season to become a nice distributor for the Hurricanes offense. His bond with freshman standout receiver Malachi Toney has been evident—and is a big reason why Miami is in this College Football Playoff in the first place. And for his part, Reed has also been a player in College Station. His dual-threat abilities have added layers to an offense that already possesses a bruising rushing attack and weapons on the outside. Reed, more than most quarterbacks, lights the world on fire when he’s hot. When he’s good, he’s really good.
There have been many highlight reel moments, but we’ve also seen our fair share of warts. Beck notably threw four interceptions in a stunning home loss to unranked Louisville and failed to hit an open receiver late in a loss to SMU. Reed saw ghosts to a stunning degree in the first half against South Carolina, with the Aggies needing a miraculous 27-point comeback to avoid its first loss of the season. And to close the regular season, Reed stalled out against Texas and threw two picks.
Everyone has down moments. It’s part of the game and human life itself. But when the stakes are this high, and the teams feel this even on paper, it’s fair to wonder which quarterback will be most responsible under pressure.
3️⃣ What should we expect out of a Lane Kiffin-less Ole Miss team?
A Kiffin-less Ole Miss feels a lot like a birthday cake without the frosting. It’s incomplete. It’s missing something.
On the surface, Ole Miss should be business as usual when they host Tulane in Oxford on Saturday. Quarterback Trinidad Chambliss has been a revelation, and for my money, can hang with any quarterback in the Field of 12. Running back Kewan Lacy is still capable of busting big plays at a moment’s notice. And the defense, led by DC-turned-head-coach Pete Golding, still has the type of difference makers required to ebb the Green Wave. This is still the same team that drubbed Tulane by a 45-10 score earlier in the year.
Yes, Jon Sumrall and Tulane will have a better idea what they’re up against in the rematch. Still, I’m highly skeptical that the Kiffin factor will matter at all this weekend. That said, late-season coaching changes aren’t always smooth, and though a first-round win is likely for the Rebels, this game may give us some clues about the ceiling for Ole Miss throughout the rest of the College Football Playoff. Next up would be a rematch with the Georgia Bulldogs, who handed the Rebels their only loss of the season.
4️⃣ Can James Madison’s defense slow down the high-flying Oregon offense?
Despite the endless debates about whether Group of Five teams belong in the College Football Playoff, James Madison earned the right to be here. But there’s no denying that Saturday night’s matchup with Oregon will be a tall, tall task. Oregon has size, speed, a bevy of weapons, and a quarterback who’s proven his mettle.
Bob Chesney’s defense has been a brick wall, allowing 14 points or fewer in 8 of 13 games this season. Best case scenario: The Dukes find a way to drag Oregon’s offense into the muck the same way Iowa did earlier in the year. The Hawkeyes utilized a run-heavy offense and a strong defensive showing (and terrible weather!) to limit Oregon to just 18 points. If it weren’t for a couple of clutch throws down the stretch from Dante Moore, the Ducks might not be here.
From where I sit, that’s the gameplan for Chesney, who is off to UCLA after the season. His preferred style of physical, smashmouth offense may not get much traction in Eugene, so he’ll need to rely on his defense to stay within striking distance.
James Madison’s best shot at avoiding a blowout is to throw different looks at the Ducks offense and create confusion. If they can’t, we might be looking at the most lopsided result of this year’s College Football Playoff.
THE PODCAST
Your CFP First Round Preview Ep is live!
The College Football Playoff is here. In this episode, we pop the hood on the four first round matchups and break down our biggest questions. Is Oklahoma more lucky than good? Can Alabama's offense get out of its rut? How will Miami's offensive line hold up against Texas A&M's front four and a loud Kyle Field? Are the Aggies trustworthy? To what degree will Ole Miss feel the absence of Lane Kiffin? Can Oregon run against James Madison? And do both Tulane and JMU belong in the College Football Playoff?
Plus, breaking news with both DJ Lagway and Dylan Raiola reportedly jumping in the transfer portal, the latest names in the Michigan coaching search, and Fernando Mendoza's Heisman victory.
We’d love to get your feedback on this newsletter. Reply back with your thoughts!

